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The UK is about to enter a period of potential uncertainty, and the greatest gift the Chancellor can provide to the government is economic protection.
How can the BOE justify doing nothing – holding interest rates steady and offering no strong view on the direction of monetary policy – while also increasing its growth forecasts, at a time when it already expects inflation to overshoot the target for the next three years?
Ever since the Conservative government came to power in 2010, one of its key policy goals has been reducing the annual government deficit to achieve fiscal balance.
Have market participants overreacted to the tone of the Brexit debate, or is there more volatility to come?
Look for very easy UK monetary policy to be with us for the cyclical horizon.
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Head of Sterling Portfolio Management
Mr. Amey is a managing director and portfolio manager in the London office. He is responsible for sterling portfolios, the European insurance (ex Germany) and the European LDI (liability-driven investing) portfolio management groups. Prior to joining PIMCO in 2003, he was head of U.K. fixed income at Rothschild Asset Management and after their merger, at Insight Investment. Prior to joining Rothschild in 1994, Mr. Amey spent two years tutoring in the Department of Economics at the University of Durham. He has 23 years of investment experience and holds undergraduate and master's degrees in corporate and international finance from the University of Durham. Mr. Amey is also a member of the U.K. Society of Investment Professionals.