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For our latest views on the impact of coronavirus, please see our latest economic outlook.

Investing in Uncertain Markets

Fear of the coronavirus’ impact on global growth has roiled markets. While we believe growth should rebound after the outbreak abates, the sell-off is another stark reminder that disruptors and uncertainty are playing an increasing role in global financial markets. What should investors consider in uncertain times?

Coronavirus market impact

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Volatility and liquidity

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What Can Investors Do?

Stay Invested

Investors may make suboptimal decisions when emotions take over, tending to buy out of excitement when the market is going up and sell out of fear when the market is falling. Markets do ultimately normalize, and when they do, those who stay invested may benefit more than those who don’t.

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Diversify with Bonds

Since the evolution of the modern bond market, investors have used bonds as a way to diversify their portfolios, generate income and preserve capital. Bond investors can choose from a broad, global array of sectors, each of which offers a distinct risk/return profile.

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In Volatile Markets – Be Wary of Investment Biases

Classical economic theories assume that we make decisions in a rational manner. But, behavioral science tells us that when it comes to making decisions, we’re much less rational than we think. Understanding these key concepts in behavioral science can help investors keep their emotions in check, make better decisions and achieve superior investment outcomes.

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Look Long Term

Investors should look beyond short-term stock market volatility.

Cyclical Outlook

Our quarterly economic viewpoint looks out over a one year horizon, providing a framework for how we position portfolios.

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Secular Outlook

Our annual economic viewpoint looks out over a three-to-five year horizon, providing a framework for how we position portfolios.

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Capital Market Assumptions

Our outlook for economies and markets over the next five years, including estimated asset class returns.

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At a Glance

Here are some useful charts to illustrate the importance of diversification and staying invested.

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Insights

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ECB Preview: Honeymoon Is Over!

ECB Preview: Honeymoon Is Over!

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to follow the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and announce monetary easing measures on Thursday, if not before. With policy rates already at negative levels, we expect focus on targeted lending front asset purchases, and less emphasis on risk free interest rates. Read more.